Author Topic: Reasons of 2014 - 206 silver panda sell lower price than 2017-2021  (Read 687 times)

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Reasons of 2014 - 206 silver panda sell lower price than 2017-2021
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2020, 09:39:38 PM »
Many of you might experience since late 2018 to now which the price of 2014, 2015 & 2016 silver panda coins are lower than 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 & 2021 silver panda. Many has purchase it due to low price without thinking and resourcing the reasons.

I will give you some analyses of the reasons after a small side talk.

As metal investors which they go for cheapest premium recognized silver bar and coins because it will sell at spot plus or minus (small %)to bullion shops, coins shops and pawnshops in USA. Therefore, lowest premium recognized bar and silver maximize the benefits and reduce risks for you. America eagle will get better selling price to pawn and coins shop in USA. Selling price is lower than panda coin even without tariff. If you intend to sell at metal value which America eagle is more for you not silver panda. Silver panda need to sell as semi numic value NOT metal. However, you can sell at facebook, ebay and other platform to get better value of panda coin selling than to bullion and coin shop. Thus, you need to have the sources and network in decision making. As personal view, graded panda give better value than omp(raw coins) if it is not too expensive due to the high mintage of silver panda coins after year 2010. The situation might change if then panda collectors has increasing sharply.

In short, if investment objective is on metal value buy lowest premium recognized silver bar and coin to sell NOT panda except graded panda with numismatic value. Buy silver panda before 2010 instead of after 2010 if in big quantity purchase for investment except you are rich and bet panda collector will increase sharply.

REASONS of 2014 - 206 silver panda sell lower price than 2017-2021

1. USA tariff implemented by Trump administration to panda coin since late 2019 which USA dealers push the tariff to consumer. On top of it USA dealers have up the premium on top of the tariff that lead to double increasing in silver panda coins. Worst, the lower volume order by USA dealers might lead to losing the better discount of bigger volume purchase from China.

2. USA dealers predict the increasing price due to tariff, higher dealers cost and higher dealers premium as cited in no. 1 which lead the metal investor cut down the purchase of silver panda coins vs previous years and panda collectors might cut down purchase too. Therefore, USA dealers order lesser panda coin for 2019 & 2020 which means supply in USA is lesser which not meet the slightly higher demand. The slight higher demand not motivate dealers to get in more supply in small quantity which make no sense in economy of scale of import small quantity of the market demand. So this lead to many dealers to increase selling price than sell till out of stock.

3. Corona virus 2019 also cause a little bit disruption in production and shipping too. On top of it, USA is top in infection and dead no. in corona virus 2019 so many disruption been there which also deter USA dealers to access to the stock for few months.

4. There were over minted of 2014, 2015 & 2016 silver panda (supply) by over confident BUT demand do not increase at all (demand). The oversupply in market lead to price dumping to market for the 2014, 2015 & 206 silver panda from late 2018 to now. A lot dealers cash out in late 2018 & 2019 due to cash tight and worry of business affect by Trade war between USA and China. As spot go up in 2020 which they are more happy to dump more to market to cash up more money.

5. As 2017, 2018, 2019 & 2020 china respective departments realize their ambitious not realistic and dealers cut down in purchase due to the market conditions. Therefore, they have cut down the actual minted panda (supply)as my deduction to better match the market demand. This is consistent that you never see dumping of 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020 silver panda cheaper than 2014, 2015 & 2016 in USA and even in other countries globally.

Personally, I predict 2019, 2020 and 2021 might be the lowest minted silver panda VS year 2014-2018. 2021 is subjecting to the big environments like vaccine of corona virus 2019, trade war between USA and china, Global economy and so on. If those 3 years panda are lowest minted vs last 10 years which might be a good opportunity purchase if more people buy panda coin in future with revive economic.

Hope this writing is helpful for you.

 

 





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